For the moment, Trump has the most popular votes of any sitting United States president. Not even Barack Obama’s massive 69,498,516 vote count can boast of the popular numbers Donald Trump just received. Although the election process isn’t over, if Biden does end up taking the office he will have more than Trump with 76,204,440.
The question now is — how much of the electorate will vote faithlessly if election irregularities amount to significant numbers? Currently, Trump has 71,563,749 popular votes which is a massive gain in popularity for the president amounting to 8,578,921 more supporters since the last presidential election. In 2016, Trump received a cume of 62,984,828 votes compared to Clinton’s 65,853,514 losing the popular vote by 2,868,686.
If we are to believe that election cheating has not transpired in high enough numbers to tip the election towards Biden, then we are looking at Biden winning 4,899,590 popular votes. This number is double what Clinton won by in 2016.
At present, evidence of election cheating has been posited by Trump campaign officials who have cited a number of examples which throw the election’s legitimacy into serious doubt. To what degree the election interference has spread is not yet known, and as Trump’s court litigation ramps up we may still have to wait to find out if the election interference by the Democrats amounts to enough to tip the scales of the election back towards Trump.
The allegations of election tampering are not new. During the 2016 election, then candidate Trump often pronounced that the election was “rigged.”
While fraudulent votes in favor of Democrats were found after that election, the cases were largely pronounced as discredited in the legacy news media as being baseless despite the findings being confirmed by subsequent legitimate investigations and court cases. In fact, many local news outlets around the country reported on election cheating even though their stories were not picked up and aggregated by national media.
At the moment, the media is fervently calling upon Trump to concede the race conveniently overlooking the fact that Hillary Clinton advised Joe Biden not to concede “under any circumstances.” This was a hard learned lesson for Clinton in the 2016 election as she conceded before the electorate convened to cast their votes in December of the same year.
You may remember there was a movement among Democrat voters to threaten the 2016 electorate with death and bodily harm to defect and vote faithlessly for Clinton even though they were pledged to vote Trump. While this was ultimately ineffective at changing the electoral outcome, a couple Republican electors did defect and vote for Clinton.
Perhaps, most interestingly was that more Democrat electors defected and faithlessly voted for Trump even though they were pledged to vote for Clinton. While Democrats would like to believe that their party’s constituency voted exclusively for Biden, the truth is likely more mixed — with many Democrats crossing over to vote Trump. Conversely, it must be mentioned that there were some Republican voters turned off by Trump who voted Biden as well.
In the United States, electoral college voters are bound to vote in the party direction of which their state was claimed for in the November 3rd popular election. There is however, no legal mechanism to prohibit and punish electors who vote faithlessly save for a fine in some states. In short, the electors which make up the electoral college can vote however they wish.
President Trump successfully resonated with many black and latino voters — often reliable Democrat voting blocks — in a way that previous Republican presidential candidates have not. So, there are now a few questions left to be answered.
Will Trump’s legal challenges based on the evidence of election cheating be substantial enough to change the outcome of the election? Given the President’s rise in popularity among usually reliable Democrat voting blocks, will any of this motivate the presumed majority Democrat electorate to defect to Trump’s side and become faithless voters? Or will Biden retain his electoral lead and popular vote count? As long as President Trump does not concede the race until December 14th, when the electorate meets to officially vote on whom will be the president of the United States, the people of this country will have to continue waiting patiently.